Tuesday, March 8, 2011

An iPad nightmare

Apple introduced last week the iPad 2. A few weeks ago my friend sold his iPad over craigslist knowing he will buy the new iPad 2. He got 75% of original price.
I did not think i want to sell and did not want to be 3 weeks without my iPad, but changed my mind after the keynote. One hour before the keynote gazelle.com did buy the iPad 64GB 3G for $590 which would mean the owner will still get $650 (original $829) for their big iPad 3G selling it private or over eBay.

Only hours after the announcement of the new iPad, the price at gazelle.com went down to $550 and now the price is $530 if your iPad is brand new, but don't expect to get the full price, they almost never pay it. Gazelle.com will even only pay $387 if the iPad has a few scratches on the back. In this case it is better to sell at eBay, because you will still get in average $530.







However i decided that I want to save the high eBay costs and posted it on craigslist.
$650 64GB 3G with 60 original DVDs.
Within minutes a potential buyer emailed me. However the email was suspicious. The buyer said he wants to send with his courier a certified personal check but i have to give him my full address. I decided not to, it looked like scam.



Even craigslist is warning for frauds like this.

A few hours later somebody asked my through craigslist if I send to Rochester NY. I replied of course but the mailing would be high because of the heavy DVDs. I got an answer it is fine and I shall send my paypal address. I did and I looked every half hour in my paypal account. Did not see anything but was happy to get a descent price for my iPad. 3 hours later i get an email from paypal that I have $750 funds in my account. I almost clicked on the email link to go to my paypal account but i saw that the address (i should send my iPad to) is in Nigeria. The person did send at the same time an email saying her husband got already an iPad for her and she does not want to disappoint me and therefore I should send the iPad to her sister.
Looking longer on the paypal email i recognized that the sender email address is paypal@service.com and not service@paypal.com. My mail program just showed the alias "Paypal Service" but right clicking on the email address gave the real email address. On my iPad it is better, it does not resolve the alias. Outlook makes it really easy for scams.




Email was convincing and lucky wise I look always directly in my account and don't click on emails links. But i guess many people don't do and then suddenly their account is compromised because they gave this person their password.
Really clever.
I did send the emails to spoof@paypal.com and should get within 24 hours an answer of their investigating.
I bought a lot of things at craigslist but never sold anything. And i will never sell anymore electronics or high end stuff through craigslist the scam is too high.
At the end you don't save anything. eBay is still the best way to go, high costs but at least all secure.

The only option for me is now Germany. Thanks to Apple. They release of the iPad is in Germany two weeks later.




I get right now for my iPad 64GB 3G around $550 with cover at eBay Germany. And the $ is so bad that I actually make almost 80% from my original price.




The buyers are willing to pay the shipping which is only $10 without insurance. If you insure the iPad then the buyer has to pay import taxes which does make the deal not attractive. I am a lucky person and a friend of mine is traveling next week to Germany and can take my iPad with him.

If you think you want to sell your iPad than hurry. Don't use craigslist or gazelle.com but try to sell it over eBay in countries where the dollar is weak and the iPad 2 does not come out soon. Just go to apple.com and look which country would work for you.

It s unbelievable that the iPad is already, after just one week, the most used sold electronic good. Gazelle.com did buy in average 1500 iPads a week. Since the keynote it is 2000 a day. eBay is since then selling more mobile pads than ever. It seems every pad owner (iPad, Xoom, Galaxy) wants to sell their pad to get the new iPad 2.

And Apple is smart, because of new form factor all accessories like covers or stands etc will not work anymore with the new iPad and we have to buy all new. At least a few hundred bucks extra to the iPad price.

I once switched to Apple because their products kept long a high resale price, Apple did change the form factor only every 3 years. The only thing which changed was processor and memory. I could easily use an Apple device three years and sell it to a good price. Since iPhone and iPad the time is over.
Apple releases every 12 months a new device with so much new that nobody wants to pay a high price for used. However the iPhone is still easier to sell to higher price, but because the people can save a lot of money buying a used one without contract and jailbreak it.
I know many who buy the iPhone and not have an expensive data plan. There it makes sense to buy to a higher price an used iPhone. A data plan is at least $720 for two years, and who really needs a data plan. Wifi is now almost everywhere.
The iPad does come without data plan, therefore nobody wants really to pay more only to get one with 3G. If so then they buy it new.

If you consider to buy the iPad 2. Think twice about the 3G model, it will lose more if you want to resell it after twelve months, as long the providers are charging still way to much for data. I am going to get the wifi only model (if i can sell my iPad) by knowing I will never be able to use it as a GPS device.

I might end up not to sell my iPad if i don't find a buyer to my conditions. Unfortunately we have already 2 iPads and I might need to wait till September when iPad 2.5 is coming out.

Let me know if you want to buy mine with original Apple cover and 60 DVDs for $650.



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Thursday, March 3, 2011

Apple JointVenture - attacking the business world

Apple changed the world (kind of). The last 20 years PCs did rule the world since last month. The first time ever more mobile devices than PC and notebooks were sold. And Apple not only started the hype with the iPhone but also has a big market share of over 25%.




The PC market will this year only grow 18% instead of 40% like in the years before and only because of smart phones and tablets.

Apple never made it into PC market, the market share is only 5% and mainly because they never made it into businesses. Dell and Windows do dominate the business world.

Apple is now trying to change this with mobile devices, they know the future is mobile and started Thursday their JointVenture to get early their feet into businesses.

JointVenture allows companies to get their employees trained on Apple devices.




Apple will set up the employees, train them and offers dedicated support. But of course this comes with a price.

Apple is charging $499 for up to 5 users and $99 for each additional user/year. It seems Apple is targeting small companies which have no IT department. But when you think deeper it even makes sense for big companies who have no IT knowledge for MacOs or iOS. it might look expensive, but Apple offers special IT training that big companies only need to sign up their IT department.
That $500 is also on top of the 3-year Applecare (not instead of), but retail employees were told that they business customers could receive enough in discounts to offset some, if not all of the price of JointVenture.

What does that $500 really buy you?

Right now, business customers must wait on line with all of the rest of the consumers at the Apple Genius Bar for support. With Pro Care (Joint Venture is described as Pro Care on steroids), they get their machines set up for them software installed, connected to their mail servers, etc. Joint Venture takes this a few steps further. They now also get:

Prioritized Genius Bar – moved to the front of the line
Genius Bar phone calls. Joint Venture customers can now call in support “geniuses” which will be business-focused call center employees.
If repairs take more than 24 hours, you get a loaner computer.
New Workshops will be offered in JointVenture – customized workshops where their staff can be taught how to get the most out of their Macs and how to grow their business effectively

Apple is the first company which is offering this for mobile devices (if we don't count blackberry). At least it is a big advantage to Google and Android. And right now in mobile there are only Blackberry, Android and Apple iOS.

We will see how it works out but it is at least a step in the right direction. It will the day come when mobile devices are as common or more common than PCs and who ever leads the business world (in terms of OS) will then win the private sector as well. Consumers buy at the end their new devices which they know the software the best or what they use in the office.

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Apple's impressive numbers and Steve Jobs

Finally today I watched the iPad 2 keynote. Steve did open the keynote and got standing ovations. He did wear his blue jeans and black sweater like always, but I had the feeling he lost some weight again. He is since his cancer pretty slim but he looked even slimmer.
He did as always a good job with his presentation however it was not as fluent as usual. He stopped a couple of times to find the right word, he almost said twice iPad instead iPod and the other way around. It is recognizable that he is not 100% fit. I was sometimes certain he did wear a bug in his ear to listen to somebody telling him what to say, like a little helper. Nevertheless the keynote was great, even if the magical "one more thing" was missing.



Image source tekosaur

He gave us some impressive numbers.

100,000,000 books in iBooks downloaded.
We all know since yesterday that 15 million iPad got sold and around 10 million iPhones have iBooks installed. Each iBooks install comes with at least one free book (Winnie the Pooh). This means out of the 100 million downloaded books are already 25 million downloaded without doing anything. Even if we don't count them, then it is only 4 books per mobile device, which is not much if we count the iPad partly an e-book reader.

Apple paid over 2 billion USD to their app developer community.
Today in app store (source 148apps.biz) :
Total Active Apps (currently available for download): 351,569
Total Inactive Apps (no longer available for download): 75,833
Total Apps Seen in US App Store: 427,402
Number of Active Publishers in the US App Store: 72,384
Free apps 121,307 (34.50%)

So we have 230k paid apps. This is in average $7,000 revenue per app.
We have around 72,000 Active Publishers in the US App store. If 30% only offer free apps then we have about 50,000 publishers which made money with their apps, which would be in average $40,000 per publisher revenue, which is not too bad. You don't make a living but it is a nice income.

However the average revenue might be less, because the free apps have usually iAds and the $2 billion paid to developers do include iAds.

The numbers seem at the end not high, but still higher than right now the competition can offer.

Over 200,000,000 iTunes accounts with credit cards.
Basically only Facebook has more members if we see Apple as a social network, but the difference is, that Apple's members are paying members. If each of the accounts spend only $1 a month, then this is per year $2.4 billion a year revenue. Nice.
Jobs noted that Amazon doesn't release comparable numbers for the accounts it holds, but suggested that this may be the largest collection of credit-card-backed accounts anywhere on the Internet. If it were a country, iTunes would be the fifth largest in the world, smaller than Indonesia but bigger than Brazil.
Source about.com

Over 15 million iPads sold
It is impressive that a company like Apple can generate within 9 months almost $10 billion revenue from one product which costs in average $633. This means the most sold iPad is the 16GB 3G version or the 32GB no 3G.

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Why i hate my iPhone 4

Yesterday Apple unveiled the new iPad 2 and the iOS 4.3 upgrade. I think it is time to upgrade the iPhone 4, at least the iOS.
I am an early adapter of the iPhone. I had the 2G, the 3G and since last year the iPhone 4.
In the first week or so I was excited about the phone, the cameras and how fast it is, now i wished the phone would be better.



1. Notifications
The iPhone notifications are still looking like in last century. A simple alert box, no design around. I wished a notification could include images and design to visualize from which app the notification is coming. Like as an example a real twitter tweet.

2. Push notification
Not only they look cheap but the push does not work really well. As an example i see only that there are 15 new updates of my apps when I go into my app store. The push is almost never up to date, what is the problem for Apple to make this working?

3. Camera speed
In the first month or so, when i switched to taking photos the camera opened instantly. Now after 6 months it is as slow as on the 3G. It takes up to 20 seconds till I can take a picture, which made me miss the best moments of my son to capture. My memory has plenty space (2G free), i cleaned and rebooted the iPhone and I made a clean install. Still it is slow. I almost believe it is intentional that i buy me a new one in summer.

4. Mobile me sync
I have multiple Apple devices and all of them have contact and calendar synced through mobile me. But for some reason the sync does work weird. As a result I have some contacts 5 to 10 times. I am always cleaning up and still it happens. Mobile me does not really allow me to have a master where I can delete and all is fine.

5. Again mobile me
I take a lot of pictures and save them in mobile me, but ironic most of the iphone apps i use can't access mobile me to open the photos, which I need to retouch or optimize them.

6. No flash
I never liked flash, but the reality is that still many websites are using flash and I really hate that i can't have flash. Why not having a native plugin which can read and display flash. If you don't like flash (steve) then build your own rendering machine to display flash. The issue is many times not the swf file, it is the engine which renders the swf on screen. Please work on this.

7. Accelerator
Man, how often happens that I have my phone close the my ear and accidentally dial another number or hang up. This was never an issue with the old model

8. Wifi
The iPhone is a beautiful device and so full of technology. But unable to be really smart. As soon i have only 1 wifi bar the phone tries to connect with wifi instead of using 3G. As a result my Internet connection is slow and i have manual to switch wifi off to surf the web. Make it smart, make it that it can use both at the same time and deliver always the fastest access. I don't care if i connected over wifi or 3G, I just want the fastest access as possible. For people who have no unlimited data plan allow them to switch this function off, if you are concerned.

9. Hotspot
Why do i need to pay another $30 if i want to share my iPhone internet with my iPad? Ok it is not really an Apple issue but they should not allow carriers to take our money so easy out of our pocket. This is useless rip off which has not economical sense.

10. Battery life
I am not a heavy user, but why do i need to charge the iPhone every day? I miss the time when i could use my Siemens phone a week before charging.

11. Customization and apps
Who are you? Why do you think you can decide what i do with my iPhone? Why can't I install apps i want, why do you not allow certain apps to be in the app store? Am i not mature enough to know and decide what i want to do with my phone? Even with the risk to break it? There are geeks in the world and they buy Androids because it fits them more. If you are concerned, then have it as an option. Average user could switch the function off to allow only special Apple approved apps and the rest can do what they want. Then you would have millions less users jailbreaking the iPhone and there would be no need for Cyndia.

Unfortunately I will stay with the iPhone, but only because my whole infrastructure is Apple. I still have the hope Apple will listen and consider all this in the new release of iOS and iPhone.

Most of this is even true for the iPad. The iPad biggest issue is syncing with iTunes and iPhoto, it is just messed up.I have so many videos and photos which don't sync from the iPad to iPhoto. I had to buy an extra software to do it manually.



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Wednesday, March 2, 2011

Making out of $10,000 over $1,750,000 in 25 years

Since Apple unveiled the latest iPAd the stock went up within a few hours 1.38% up to over $352 a piece.
The day is not over and it might go up much further. Not only because the iPad 2 is a great new version of the iPad  and went again ahead of the competition like the Motorola Xoom.
It is as well because the shareholders and everybody saw Steve presenting the keynote which gives more security to the investors. Everybody seem to see the success directly attached to Steve. Which is true but we should not forget that Jonathan Ive might leave Apple if the rumors are correct (he wants to be back in London with family).
There are many people people behind Apple but of course Steve is the Flagship.
Imagine you might have bought Apple stock in 1985 (which i got a present, 2 stocks). Imagine you bought 5000 stocks for $10,000. Then you would have today almost $2 Million in stocks. Is this not amazing?

iPad 2 presented by Steve Jobs

I was wrong, Steve did present the new iPad, but i am sure he did it because he wanted to do it, not because everybody was asking for. The question now is if he is coming soon back to run the company in person.
I guess the speculation is going on again. I could not attend the event nor did i find streaming (i had to work), wondering how healthy Steve Jobs looks to get a feeling if he is returning soon.
The new ipad is impressing, much thinner, lighter and faster, but not really something we did not expect (i had expected more memory). The two cameras will be great as well the ability to stream movies on TV. I am not sure with the new smart cover, it does only protect the front which does not hinder to get scratches in the back. And the magnetic band seems for me nothing which can hold forever. But at least it is innovative.

For all who missed the event, here is an overview found at yahoo:
Here are our live notes:

12:59 The event's about to get underway. Supposedly a lot of Beatles music being played. Now "Here Comes The Sun."

1:00 Ryan Block thinks Steve Jobs is going to lead the keynote.

1:02 Steve Jobs is out on stage! He's getting a standing ovation, according Macworld.

1:04 iBooks has passed 100 million books downloaded, Jobs says. And as we've seen, Random House is now joining the iBookstore. Wonder how that compares to Kindle ebook sales?

1:05 The App Store has paid out over $2 billion to developers cumulatively, Jobs says, via Macworld. And Apple recently shipped its 100 millionth iPhone. And it sold almost 15 million iPads in 2010, more than every tablet PC ever sold.

1:08 The App Store has over 350,000 apps, more than 65,000 are updated for the iPad.

1:10 Om Malik tweets: "Wow. Steve is looking thin, but boy I am glad to see him on stage making the presentation."

1:11 Jobs has been taking shots at Android and Samsung, appropriately. Now they're showing off an iPad propaganda video.

1:17 Apple slams the competitors with a slide: "2011: Year of the copycats?" Now it's time for Apple to show off the "iPad 2."

1:19 So here's what's new: As expected, dual-core A5 processors, up to 2X faster CPU, and up to 9X faster graphics. And front- and rear-facing cameras. And a gyroscope.

1:21 It's thinner than the iPhone 4 -- 8.8 mm. And it's a bit lighter at 1.3 lbs, down from 1.5 lbs. Comes in black and white, and white will ship from day one. (Versus the iPhone 4, whose white version still hasn't shipped.) AT&T and Verizon support, but unclear if they're separate models or one model with both wireless capabilities. But same 10-hour battery life.

1:24 Same prices, starting at $499.

1:25 Shipping on Friday, March 11. Before RIM's first PlayBook ships, before HP's first TouchPad ships, etc. And of course WAY before any Windows tablets ship.

1:27 iPad 2 will have HDMI out, including mirrored video. It seems that you can watch on a TV what's on the iPad's screen. Pretty cool.

1:29 There's also a new magnetic "smart cover" that seems to be a major improvement over the old cover. Check out Engadget for more.

1:31 People are going nuts about this cover. Would be funny if that's the reason I upgraded. Remember when magnets killed computers?

1:32 Now Apple's Scott Forstall is coming out to talk about iOS 4.3. Wonder if he'll say anything about iOS 5, or if that's going to be coming at a later event.

1:33 Wow, the case comes in a zillion different colors. Looks very cool.

1:34 New iOS supports iTunes home sharing, according to Macworld. Can stream music, movies, and other media to your iOS device.

1:38 As predicted, there's PhotoBooth software, and FaceTime, to use the new cameras.

1:41 iOS 4.3 is out March 11 as well, and will be a free download for iPad, iPhone (GSM), and newer iPod touches. As Macworld notes, it seems Verizon iPhone has been left off.

1:42 Now they're showing off iMovie for iPad, as we expected they would. Let's see how this compares to the video editing software built into Android's Honeycomb OS.

1:48 Macworld says you can upload iMovie videos to YouTube, Facebook, Vimeo, CNN iReport, and to iTunes. SOCIAL!

1:50 There's also Garage Band for the iPad now, too. Make music on your tablet.

1:53 By the way, if you want to see big photos of all of these things, check out Engadget.


1:57 This Garage Band software looks really cool. It uses the iPad's accelerometer (motion sensor) to see how hard you're pressing the keys, etc.

1:59 So, who wants to go buy a Xoom today?

2:04 Garage Band: Only $5. Very cool.

2:10 By the way, if you're still following along, Apple's website is up with the new stuff. And here are some photos of the iPad 2.

2:14 Event's wrapping up. That's it. No iOS 5 today, no Apple TV App Store.

Will Steve Jobs present the new iPad?

Today is the big day. Apple is going to present the iPad 2.



But more important and more unclear is, if Steve Jobs will make the presentation.
Jobs left Apple a few months ago at an undefined period for medical leave.
Shareholders of Apple asking since then to get a statement about Jobs health to understand if he is coming back to run Apple. Jobs was, since his returned to Apple, the driver of the company and influenced the direction of Apple very strong.
Jobs not coming back might change the future of Apple and it's stock price.
Jobs was seen in the last few months once or twice at the Apple campus and is daily on the phone with Apple executives but he did not run active the company. He attended last week a dinner with Obama. This is all we know.

If Apple would be a different company and Steve Jobs somebody else, then he would be at the presentation today to show the world all is fine.
Board of Directors would have made him to come to minimize the risk for assumptions and to keep the stock stable.

But this is Apple and Steve Jobs. He does not care what other people expect, this made him and Apple what they are today.
If he is presenting the iPad, then only because he wants and not because other want to see him.
I doubt he will present the iPad, it is not a major product release, it is not magical enough.

We will see today.


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